Kalkara vs Mdina Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
4.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kalkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BIR
7 - 1
KAL
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 1
MQA
64%
18%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RAB
2 - 4
KAL
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 4
QRE
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 5
MTA
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mdina Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MDI
0 - 5
MEL
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 0
MDI
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
XGH
4 - 0
MDI
87%
8%
4%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MDI
0 - 5
BIR
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MDI
1 - 3
MQA
16%
18%
66%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |