Kalisz vs Jastrzębie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kalisz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
KAL
3 - 1
MGJ
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ZAG
0 - 0
KAL
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 3
GKS
88%
9%
3%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
KAL
0 - 1
RST
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MIE
2 - 1
KAL
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Jastrzębie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
KAL
3 - 1
MGJ
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
MGJ
1 - 2
STO
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MGJ
0 - 0
STA
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MGJ
1 - 0
PAW
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HLU
0 - 1
MGJ
41%
25%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |