Kaliakra vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaliakra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SVE
0 - 2
KAL
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
KAL
1 - 3
DUN
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
KAL
0 - 0
CVA
24%
26%
51%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
KAL
2 - 1
PAN
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
LYU
0 - 1
KAL
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
NES
2 - 0
DUN
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
PAN
1 - 4
NES
26%
28%
47%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
NES
3 - 0
ROD
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
SVA
0 - 0
NES
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
NES
1 - 1
SPA
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |