Kaliakra vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
51.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaliakra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
SSO
3 - 0
KAL
73%
18%
8%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
KAL
1 - 1
SVE
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
VID
1 - 0
KAL
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
KAL
3 - 1
BER
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LPL
2 - 0
KAL
83%
13%
5%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CVA
0 - 2
CHB
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 0
CVA
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CVA
0 - 1
LUD
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LOV
1 - 0
CVA
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CVA
2 - 0
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |