Kaitseliit Kalev vs Joker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
29%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaitseliit Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
TJK
1 - 3
KAI
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
KAI
0 - 4
JKL
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
EMM
4 - 0
KAI
82%
12%
7%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
TKA
5 - 1
KAI
62%
19%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
KAI
5 - 1
MCT
67%
17%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Joker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
JOK
0 - 6
TAL
20%
23%
57%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
NOM
0 - 1
JOK
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
TIN
4 - 1
JOK
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
JOK
1 - 5
SJK
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
TJK
0 - 1
JOK
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |