Kaitseliit Kalev vs Joker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaitseliit Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 1
KAI
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
TAB
0 - 2
KAI
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
KAI
0 - 0
ALK
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
FCP
9 - 0
KAI
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
KAI
0 - 1
TDU
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Joker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
JOK
2 - 0
ALK
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
TAA
1 - 5
JOK
20%
20%
60%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
FCP
4 - 2
JOK
81%
13%
7%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
JOK
1 - 1
TDU
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 2
JOK
62%
20%
19%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |