Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Kaiserslautern vs FC Universitatea Craiova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
BVB
4 - 0
KAI
53%
22%
25%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
KAI
3 - 2
EBT
74%
15%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
KAI
3 - 2
KOL
58%
21%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
HER
0 - 0
KAI
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1982 |
STU
1 - 1
KAI
59%
21%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1982 |
FCU
2 - 0
GIR
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1982 |
FCU
1 - 1
FCM
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1982 |
GIR
1 - 0
FCU
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
STB
1 - 3
FCU
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
FCU
1 - 1
DBU
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |