Kaiserslautern vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis

Kaiserslautern Erzgebirge Aue
79 ELO 67
0.3% Tilt 4.5%
293º General ELO ranking 1258º
28º Country ELO ranking 57º
ELO win probability
65.1%
Kaiserslautern
21.1%
Draw
13.7%
Erzgebirge Aue

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
Kaiserslautern
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.8%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kaiserslautern
-1%
-11%
Erzgebirge Aue

ELO progression

Kaiserslautern
Erzgebirge Aue
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kaiserslautern
Kaiserslautern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2013
SGF
Greuther Fürth
2 - 1
Kaiserslautern
KAI
44%
26%
30%
79 78 1 0
03 Aug. 2013
NEC
Neckarsulmer SU
0 - 7
Kaiserslautern
KAI
5%
12%
83%
79 22 57 0
26 Jul. 2013
KAI
Kaiserslautern
3 - 1
Ingolstadt 04
ING
66%
21%
13%
79 67 12 0
20 Jul. 2013
PAD
Paderborn
0 - 1
Kaiserslautern
KAI
30%
26%
44%
78 71 7 +1
27 May. 2013
KAI
Kaiserslautern
1 - 2
Hoffenheim
HOF
41%
25%
34%
79 81 2 -1

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2013
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 1
VfR Aalen
VFR
41%
29%
30%
68 69 1 0
02 Aug. 2013
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
3 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
48%
25%
27%
69 71 2 -1
27 Jul. 2013
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 0
Sandhausen
SVS
49%
25%
25%
68 62 6 +1
19 Jul. 2013
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
45%
26%
28%
68 67 1 0
19 May. 2013
SVS
Sandhausen
0 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
37%
26%
37%
67 63 4 +1