Kei Lun vs Windsor Arch Ka I analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.9%
4-3
2.4%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
19.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 5
KLM
43%
21%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
KLM
5 - 0
LAI
58%
19%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CHF
3 - 3
KLM
51%
20%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
KLM
3 - 6
CPO
57%
19%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
KLM
5 - 5
LAI
55%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
WAK
0 - 3
CPK
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MCA
5 - 2
WAK
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
WAK
1 - 0
SMA
57%
19%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MCA
2 - 7
WAK
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PSP
1 - 9
WAK
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |