Kei Lun vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
KLM
1 - 3
CPK
55%
19%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
MCA
2 - 0
KLM
59%
18%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
KLM
3 - 1
WAK
54%
19%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 5
KLM
43%
21%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
KLM
5 - 0
LAI
58%
19%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SMA
0 - 3
LAI
49%
21%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CPK
2 - 0
SMA
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 2
CHF
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
MCA
4 - 1
SMA
62%
18%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SMA
2 - 1
PSP
57%
21%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |