Kei Lun vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
53.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
KLM
2 - 7
CPK
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
KLM
0 - 4
LAI
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
KLM
0 - 12
BEN
31%
24%
46%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
GLP
4 - 1
KLM
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
KLM
0 - 4
CPK
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 0
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 0
MCA
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
SMA
8 - 2
CLU
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | -15 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
SMA
1 - 1
ADG
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
SMA
3 - 0
HNM
79%
14%
8%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |