Kei Lun vs CSL Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CPK
5 - 0
KLM
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
KLM
0 - 5
WAK
40%
20%
39%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
KLM
3 - 1
CDT
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
KLM
3 - 0
MFH
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
KLM
0 - 3
LEO
27%
20%
53%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
PSP
0 - 5
BEN
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
BEN
7 - 0
CLU
55%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
BEN
5 - 0
CPK
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
PSP
0 - 5
BEN
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |