Kei Lun vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
28.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2017 |
WAK
1 - 0
KLM
49%
20%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
KLM
4 - 0
MAC
54%
19%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LAI
1 - 4
KLM
45%
21%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
KLM
2 - 3
CHF
58%
18%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
KLM
5 - 2
PSP
92%
6%
3%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
MCA
0 - 1
CPK
63%
17%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SMA
0 - 5
MCA
44%
22%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
WAK
0 - 3
MCA
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MCA
9 - 2
LAI
63%
17%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MCA
7 - 2
CHF
62%
18%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |