Kei Lun vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
59.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BEN
11 - 0
KLM
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
KLM
1 - 6
GLP
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CPK
3 - 1
KLM
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
KLM
0 - 8
WAK
20%
20%
61%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 2
KLM
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MCA
5 - 1
GLP
51%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
MCA
3 - 2
WAK
51%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MCA
2 - 1
PSP
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LLM
0 - 7
MCA
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MCA
2 - 0
BEN
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |