Kagera Sugar vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+106%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MTI
1 - 1
KAG
36%
30%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
MBE
0 - 0
KAG
37%
30%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
DJF
0 - 0
KAG
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
KAG
0 - 1
NAM
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
KAG
1 - 2
AZA
32%
30%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MWA
0 - 1
SIM
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SIM
5 - 0
MTI
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
SIM
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SIM
4 - 1
VCL
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
SIM
3 - 0
ALM
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |