Kagera Sugar vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
28.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
JKT
0 - 2
KAG
36%
27%
36%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
YOU
1 - 0
KAG
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
KAG
1 - 1
AFR
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
KAG
1 - 0
COA
39%
30%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
KAG
1 - 0
JKT
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SIM
2 - 1
COA
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
REC
4 - 0
SIM
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SIM
0 - 1
MTI
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
TAN
0 - 1
SIM
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SIM
0 - 1
REC
38%
23%
38%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |