Kagera Sugar vs Mwadui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
YOU
3 - 0
KAG
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
KAG
2 - 1
MMA
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
KAG
1 - 1
SUT
34%
30%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
KAG
1 - 1
AZA
35%
30%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
RUV
2 - 0
KAG
38%
30%
32%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
AZA
1 - 0
MWA
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MBE
0 - 0
MWA
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
TAN
1 - 0
MWA
44%
30%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
MWA
2 - 2
SIM
43%
28%
30%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
MWA
3 - 1
MTI
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |