Kagera Sugar vs Mwadui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
33.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
KAG
0 - 0
SUN
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
KAG
0 - 0
MBE
36%
31%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
KAG
2 - 0
MWA
32%
31%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
KAG
2 - 1
SUN
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
KAG
1 - 2
AZA
26%
30%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MBA
0 - 1
MWA
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
TOT
1 - 0
MWA
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
KAG
2 - 0
MWA
32%
31%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MWA
1 - 1
MBE
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SIM
0 - 1
MWA
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |