Kagera Sugar vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
24.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
NAM
1 - 0
KAG
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
KAG
1 - 1
JKT
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
GGF
0 - 0
KAG
46%
28%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
KAG
2 - 1
IFC
34%
30%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
KAG
1 - 1
MFC
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 15 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MTI
2 - 1
TAN
33%
30%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SBS
0 - 2
MTI
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
MTI
0 - 0
DJF
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
COA
1 - 0
MTI
51%
29%
20%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
MTI
2 - 3
IFC
36%
27%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |