Kagera Sugar vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
31.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
KAG
1 - 2
MBE
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
KAG
0 - 0
DJF
31%
27%
41%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
NAM
2 - 1
KAG
60%
25%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
AZA
4 - 2
KAG
70%
20%
10%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
KAG
1 - 0
KMC
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
MTI
1 - 0
AZA
22%
30%
48%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
MTI
1 - 0
NAM
27%
29%
45%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
GFC
2 - 0
MTI
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BUM
1 - 0
MTI
46%
31%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MTI
0 - 1
YOU
28%
30%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |