Kagera Sugar vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
TAN
1 - 1
KAG
51%
30%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NDA
1 - 1
KAG
43%
30%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
KAG
1 - 0
MWA
48%
27%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
YOU
3 - 0
KAG
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
KAG
2 - 1
MMA
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
MTI
1 - 0
NDA
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
MTI
0 - 1
SIM
25%
29%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
SUT
0 - 3
MTI
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
TAN
2 - 1
MTI
40%
31%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
MTI
1 - 2
RUV
52%
28%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |