Kagera Sugar vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
KAG
2 - 1
AFR
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
KAG
2 - 0
NDA
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
MWA
2 - 1
KAG
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
SUN
0 - 1
KAG
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MBE
0 - 0
KAG
44%
29%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
MTI
0 - 0
SIM
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2016 |
MTI
1 - 0
MMA
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
NDA
0 - 2
MTI
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
RUV
1 - 1
MTI
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MTI
1 - 0
MBE
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |