Kagera Sugar vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
42.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
KAG
3 - 0
COA
35%
30%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
TAN
1 - 1
KAG
53%
28%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
KAG
1 - 1
JKT
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TOT
1 - 1
KAG
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
JKT
1 - 1
KAG
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MTI
2 - 1
JKT
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MTI
3 - 0
COA
55%
25%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MMA
1 - 0
MTI
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
NDA
1 - 1
MTI
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
MTI
2 - 2
TOT
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |