Kagera Sugar vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
31%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
YOU
2 - 1
KAG
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COA
2 - 2
KAG
33%
32%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SUN
2 - 0
KAG
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
KAG
1 - 0
POL
45%
30%
25%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
KAG
1 - 0
JKT
48%
29%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SIM
1 - 0
MTI
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MTI
1 - 1
MBE
46%
28%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MTI
2 - 1
POL
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
JKT
1 - 0
MTI
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
NDA
0 - 0
MTI
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |