Kagera Sugar vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
27.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
JKT
1 - 1
KAG
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
RUV
2 - 2
KAG
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
AZA
1 - 2
KAG
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ASH
1 - 3
KAG
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
KAG
0 - 2
SIM
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
YOU
0 - 1
MTI
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
MTI
2 - 2
MMA
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
MTI
1 - 0
POL
57%
24%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
AFR
1 - 2
MTI
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
MTI
3 - 0
ASH
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |