Kagera Sugar vs Mbeya City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SUN
0 - 0
KAG
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
KAG
2 - 1
MTI
37%
30%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
TAN
1 - 1
KAG
51%
30%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NDA
1 - 1
KAG
43%
30%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
KAG
1 - 0
MWA
48%
27%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
MBE
1 - 1
SUT
30%
31%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MBE
1 - 1
YOU
26%
29%
45%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
SIM
3 - 1
MBE
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MBE
0 - 0
AZA
18%
29%
54%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
RUV
2 - 2
MBE
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |