Kagera Sugar vs Mbeya City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
27.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2015 |
RUV
0 - 0
KAG
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
SIM
0 - 1
KAG
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MTI
1 - 1
KAG
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
KAG
1 - 0
YOU
33%
29%
39%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
KAG
1 - 1
COA
42%
31%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MBE
1 - 0
NDA
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SUN
1 - 0
MBE
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JKT
2 - 1
MBE
34%
28%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MBE
0 - 2
MTI
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MBE
0 - 1
AZA
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |