Kagera Sugar vs JKT Mgambo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
SIM
1 - 1
KAG
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
RUV
1 - 1
KAG
35%
30%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
TAN
1 - 1
KAG
29%
29%
41%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
KAG
1 - 0
COA
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
KAG
1 - 2
YOU
39%
30%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
JKT Mgambo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
JKT
0 - 0
COA
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
YOU
3 - 0
JKT
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MTI
4 - 1
JKT
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
JKT
0 - 1
MBE
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
AZA
2 - 0
JKT
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |