Kagera Sugar vs Coastal Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
32.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
KAG
1 - 1
SIM
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
YOU
1 - 0
KAG
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KMC
0 - 0
KAG
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
TAN
0 - 0
KAG
46%
29%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
KFC
0 - 3
KAG
17%
25%
58%
|
60 | 20 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Coastal Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2024 |
GGF
0 - 0
COA
43%
28%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
COA
2 - 0
SBS
33%
30%
37%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
COA
0 - 0
TAN
36%
32%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
YOU
1 - 0
COA
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
NAM
1 - 0
COA
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |