Kagera Sugar vs Coastal Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
IFC
2 - 1
KAG
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
TAN
0 - 1
KAG
45%
30%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
RUV
0 - 0
KAG
50%
28%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
KAG
3 - 0
BUM
37%
29%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
KAG
1 - 0
MWA
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Coastal Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
COA
0 - 0
TAN
35%
32%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
COA
0 - 0
MBE
41%
30%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
POL
1 - 1
COA
46%
29%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
COA
1 - 0
IFC
42%
29%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
COA
0 - 7
SIM
12%
24%
64%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |