Kagera Sugar vs Coastal Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
31.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
KAG
1 - 0
JKT
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
JKT
2 - 0
KAG
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
AZA
3 - 1
KAG
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
KAG
0 - 0
POL
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
KAG
2 - 0
TAN
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Coastal Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
TOT
0 - 0
COA
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
COA
0 - 0
TAN
54%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
COA
3 - 1
JKT
51%
26%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
COA
0 - 2
YOU
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
COA
1 - 0
POL
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |