Kabure EC vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kabure EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2007 |
KEC
1 - 0
TOC
23%
23%
54%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
TMI
3 - 1
KEC
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
0 - 2
KEC
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
KEC
0 - 3
TOC
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
KEC
1 - 0
ARA
10%
23%
67%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2007 |
ARA
3 - 0
TOC
68%
17%
14%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
TOC
3 - 2
SAO
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
TOC
4 - 1
TOC
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
KEC
0 - 3
TOC
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
TOC
0 - 0
TMI
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |