KAA Gent vs Charleroi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
12º
6º
37
3º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
DEN
0 - 0
GEN
23%
23%
53%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 3
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SDL
0 - 1
GEN
24%
24%
51%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 0
GEN
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 1
CER
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Charleroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 2
UNI
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
KVK
0 - 1
CHA
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
STR
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LEU
1 - 0
CHA
49%
24%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 3
CHA
60%
22%
19%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |