Europa League Playoffs Last 16
Global 3-6
KAA Gent vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
WAA
2 - 3
GEN
14%
25%
61%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
GEN
3 - 1
MOU
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
TOT
2 - 2
GEN
70%
19%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SDL
1 - 1
GEN
44%
26%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 0
TOT
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
GNK
2 - 1
BRU
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
AND
2 - 0
GNK
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
GNK
1 - 0
AST
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GNK
1 - 1
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
AST
2 - 2
GNK
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |