Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 3-1
KAA Gent vs Fylkir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
STR
0 - 2
GEN
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
GEN
1 - 1
LOK
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
GEN
1 - 1
ANT
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
RAA
2 - 2
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
GEN
1 - 1
CER
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fylkir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2004 |
FYL
2 - 1
VIK
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2004 |
FRA
1 - 1
FYL
39%
26%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
FYL
2 - 0
KEF
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
GRI
0 - 2
FYL
44%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
FYL
1 - 0
FHH
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |