KAA Gent vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
MON
0 - 1
GEN
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
GEN
2 - 4
DEN
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 2
GEN
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
GEN
4 - 2
LOK
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
BRU
0 - 0
GEN
55%
23%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
3 - 0
EXC
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 3
KSV
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CER
3 - 0
EXC
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 1
RWD
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
KVK
2 - 0
EXC
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |