KAA Gent vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
GNK
2 - 1
GEN
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
GEN
2 - 1
50%
27%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
CER
1 - 2
GEN
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
GEN
2 - 1
SDL
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
GEN
3 - 0
RAA
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 1
AND
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
KVC
0 - 5
EXC
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
KSK
0 - 2
EXC
48%
23%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
LOK
1 - 1
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |