KAA Gent vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
ANT
1 - 4
GEN
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
GEN
2 - 0
GNK
35%
24%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
SDL
4 - 1
GEN
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
GEN
2 - 0
KVM
64%
20%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
KVC
1 - 0
GEN
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 1
SDL
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
EXC
3 - 1
KVM
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
LOM
2 - 1
EXC
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
KVC
1 - 2
EXC
31%
25%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 0
KSK
84%
12%
5%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |