Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-4
KAA Gent vs SCR Altach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
BEE
2 - 3
GEN
10%
18%
72%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
LEN
1 - 3
GEN
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
AEK
1 - 1
GEN
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 3
NIC
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
PAO
0 - 2
GEN
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SCR Altach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ALT
3 - 0
AUS
31%
25%
43%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
DIN
0 - 3
ALT
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 5
ALT
5%
12%
83%
|
78 | 38 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 1
DIN
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |