KA Akureyri vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KA Akureyri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
KAA
3 - 3
BRE
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
IBV
2 - 0
KAA
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
KRR
2 - 0
KAA
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
KAA
2 - 1
FYL
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
KAA
2 - 1
GRI
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
STR
1 - 1
CON
15%
22%
63%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
CON
2 - 1
GUI
74%
18%
9%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TNS
4 - 1
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
PEN
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
CON
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |