Alliance FC vs TJK Legion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
47.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
10º
10º
21
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NOM
3 - 0
JKJ
90%
7%
2%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 3
VJK
13%
21%
66%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 3
JKJ
86%
10%
5%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +3 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 5
FCT
9%
16%
75%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
JKJ
4 - 2
TAB
6%
12%
82%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
LEV
4 - 0
TJK
78%
15%
8%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TJK
2 - 4
PAI
33%
22%
45%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
TJK
0 - 5
NOM
5%
12%
83%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 1
TJK
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VJK
3 - 3
TJK
73%
18%
10%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |