Alliance FC vs TJK Legion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
42.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
FLO
0 - 0
JKJ
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
JKJ
4 - 1
FLO
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
TJK
1 - 0
JKJ
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
JKJ
1 - 3
FCE
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SKA
4 - 0
JKJ
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
TJK
1 - 2
FCE
54%
22%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FCE
0 - 1
TJK
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
TJK
1 - 0
JKJ
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
TFS
5 - 0
TJK
84%
10%
6%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
TJK
2 - 0
FCA
29%
24%
48%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +4 |