Alliance FC vs Tartu Welco II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
NOM
1 - 2
JKJ
64%
19%
16%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
JKJ
3 - 2
LAH
19%
20%
61%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
JKJ
1 - 0
TJK
14%
16%
70%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
JKJ
6 - 3
TKA
17%
20%
63%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +6 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
VAN
1 - 1
JKJ
85%
10%
6%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tartu Welco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
TJK
2 - 4
MST
44%
21%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 2
TJK
30%
21%
49%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 3
TJK
35%
21%
44%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
TJK
8 - 0
NOO
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
SIK
6 - 0
TJK
81%
13%
7%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |