Alliance FC vs Tabasalu Charma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
81.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
10º
10º
55
4º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 1
JKJ
83%
10%
6%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 3
NOM
6%
12%
82%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VJK
1 - 0
JKJ
80%
15%
6%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 2
LEV
6%
14%
79%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 1
JKJ
88%
9%
3%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Tabasalu Charma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TAB
2 - 3
FCT
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 4
TAB
18%
19%
63%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TAB
0 - 1
LEV
42%
23%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
FLO
7 - 3
TAB
57%
20%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TAB
1 - 3
NOM
25%
21%
54%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |