Alliance FC vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
TAM
2 - 0
JKJ
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FCE
2 - 0
JKJ
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
JKJ
2 - 1
WEL
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
FLO
5 - 2
JKJ
80%
12%
7%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
JKJ
0 - 2
TJK
12%
19%
69%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 1
FCE
41%
24%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 6
LEV
45%
22%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
TAM
3 - 1
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 2
TJK
22%
21%
57%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
FLO
0 - 3
PAR
81%
12%
7%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |