Alliance FC vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
74.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
10º
10º
41
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
6 - 1
JKJ
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TAB
7 - 4
JKJ
92%
6%
2%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 3
FLO
8%
16%
76%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
FCE
3 - 0
JKJ
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
JKJ
0 - 6
NOM
7%
13%
80%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PAI
3 - 2
TJK
63%
19%
18%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
0 - 0
PAI
78%
13%
8%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 1
TAB
30%
22%
48%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 3
PAI
53%
21%
26%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 0
PAI
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |