Alliance FC vs FC Tallinn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
10º
10º
52
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
JKJ
2 - 5
TAB
11%
17%
72%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
JKJ
3 - 2
FLO
10%
18%
72%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
NOM
4 - 2
JKJ
89%
8%
3%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JKJ
2 - 6
VJK
17%
23%
61%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
4 - 0
JKJ
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
FC Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 2
VJK
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
TAB
2 - 1
FCT
46%
21%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 1
FCT
37%
25%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 3
NOM
38%
23%
39%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 2
PAI
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |