Alliance FC vs Ararat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
JKJ
0 - 1
FCE
31%
23%
47%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
SKA
4 - 0
JKJ
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
JKJ
2 - 3
SKA
16%
20%
63%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
TIN
6 - 0
JKJ
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
NOM
6 - 0
JKJ
81%
12%
6%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FCA
5 - 0
TJK
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
FCE
1 - 3
FCA
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCE
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
TJK
3 - 2
FCA
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FCA
4 - 1
JKJ
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |