Bocholter vs Rupel Boom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
13º
13º
62
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
12% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 88% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 12% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bocholter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TON
0 - 0
KVV
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
KVV
6 - 3
LIL
50%
22%
28%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BED
1 - 1
KVV
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KVV
1 - 1
STT
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KVV
2 - 0
HAD
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rupel Boom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BED
1 - 2
RUP
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RUP
3 - 1
HOU
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TON
1 - 1
RUP
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RUP
4 - 0
MEC
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
STT
0 - 0
RUP
12%
19%
69%
|
55 | 9 | 46 | 0 |