Coppa Italia . Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Juventus vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LAZ
1 - 0
JUV
31%
27%
42%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
GEN
75%
17%
8%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 2
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
JUV
46%
26%
28%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 2
FRO
71%
18%
10%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LAZ
1 - 0
JUV
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 3
LAZ
27%
24%
49%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
LAZ
1 - 2
UDI
63%
22%
16%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
LAZ
82%
12%
6%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ACM
34%
26%
41%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |